Execution Time30.51s

Test: tutorial-roostats-rs101_limitexample (Passed)
Build: PR-4855-x86_64-centos7-gcc48-opt (olhswep22.cern.ch) on 2020-01-24 15:45:19

Test Timing: Passed
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Processing /data/sftnight/workspace/root-pullrequests-build/root/tutorials/roostats/rs101_limitexample.C...

[NON-XML-CHAR-0x1B][1mRooFit v3.60 -- Developed by Wouter Verkerke and David Kirkby[NON-XML-CHAR-0x1B][0m 
                Copyright (C) 2000-2013 NIKHEF, University of California & Stanford University
                All rights reserved, please read http://roofit.sourceforge.net/license.txt


RooWorkspace()  contents

variables
---------
(b,gSigBkg,gSigEff,obs,ratioBkgEff,ratioSigEff,s)

p.d.f.s
-------
RooGaussian::bkgConstraint[ x=gSigBkg mean=ratioBkgEff sigma=0.2 ] = 1
RooPoisson::countingModel[ x=obs mean=countingModel_2 ] = 0.0325554
RooProdPdf::modelWithConstraints[ countingModel * sigConstraint * bkgConstraint ] = 0.0325554
RooGaussian::sigConstraint[ x=gSigEff mean=ratioSigEff sigma=0.05 ] = 1

functions
--------
RooAddition::countingModel_2[ countingModel_2_[s_x_ratioSigEff] + countingModel_2_[b_x_ratioBkgEff] ] = 150
RooProduct::countingModel_2_[b_x_ratioBkgEff][ b * ratioBkgEff ] = 100
RooProduct::countingModel_2_[s_x_ratioSigEff][ s * ratioSigEff ] = 50

[#1] INFO:Minization -- createNLL: caching constraint set under name CONSTR_OF_PDF_modelWithConstraints_FOR_OBS_obs with 2 entries
[#1] INFO:Minization --  Including the following constraint terms in minimization: (sigConstraint,bkgConstraint)
[#1] INFO:Fitting -- RooAddition::defaultErrorLevel(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr) Summation contains a RooNLLVar, using its error level
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooMinimizer::optimizeConst: activating const optimization
[#1] INFO:Minization --  The following expressions will be evaluated in cache-and-track mode: (countingModel)
 **********
 **    1 **SET PRINT           1
 **********
 **********
 **    2 **SET NOGRAD
 **********
 PARAMETER DEFINITIONS:
    NO.   NAME         VALUE      STEP SIZE      LIMITS
     1 ratioBkgEff   1.00000e+00  3.00000e-01    0.00000e+00  3.00000e+00
     2 ratioSigEff   1.00000e+00  3.00000e-01    0.00000e+00  3.00000e+00
     3 s            5.00000e+01  1.20000e+01    0.00000e+00  1.20000e+02
 **********
 **    3 **SET ERR         0.5
 **********
 **********
 **    4 **SET PRINT           1
 **********
 **********
 **    5 **SET STR           1
 **********
 NOW USING STRATEGY  1: TRY TO BALANCE SPEED AGAINST RELIABILITY
 **********
 **    6 **MIGRAD        1500           1
 **********
 FIRST CALL TO USER FUNCTION AT NEW START POINT, WITH IFLAG=4.
 START MIGRAD MINIMIZATION.  STRATEGY  1.  CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. 1.00e-03
 FCN=1.01592 FROM MIGRAD    STATUS=INITIATE       12 CALLS          13 TOTAL
                     EDM= unknown      STRATEGY= 1      NO ERROR MATRIX       
  EXT PARAMETER               CURRENT GUESS       STEP         FIRST   
  NO.   NAME      VALUE            ERROR          SIZE      DERIVATIVE 
   1  ratioBkgEff   1.00000e+00   3.00000e-01   2.14402e-01  -9.42809e+00
   2  ratioSigEff   1.00000e+00   3.00000e-01   2.14402e-01  -4.71404e+00
   3  s            5.00000e+01   1.20000e+01   2.04382e-01  -3.94405e+00
                               ERR DEF= 0.5
 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED.
 MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX.
 COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY
 FCN=0.689753 FROM MIGRAD    STATUS=CONVERGED      60 CALLS          61 TOTAL
                     EDM=4.05791e-08    STRATEGY= 1      ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE 
  EXT PARAMETER                                   STEP         FIRST   
  NO.   NAME      VALUE            ERROR          SIZE      DERIVATIVE 
   1  ratioBkgEff   1.00002e+00   1.99284e-01   5.69545e-05   2.44292e-04
   2  ratioSigEff   9.99992e-01   4.99900e-02   2.59106e-05  -5.01928e-03
   3  s            5.99979e+01   2.32251e+01   1.58945e-04  -2.07489e-04
                               ERR DEF= 0.5
 EXTERNAL ERROR MATRIX.    NDIM=  25    NPAR=  3    ERR DEF=0.5
  3.998e-02  2.485e-07 -3.998e+00 
  2.485e-07  2.500e-03 -1.500e-01 
 -3.998e+00 -1.500e-01  5.687e+02 
 PARAMETER  CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS  
       NO.  GLOBAL      1      2      3
        1  0.84507   1.000  0.000 -0.838
        2  0.23079   0.000  1.000 -0.126
        3  0.84774  -0.838 -0.126  1.000
 **********
 **    7 **SET ERR         0.5
 **********
 **********
 **    8 **SET PRINT           1
 **********
 **********
 **    9 **HESSE        1500
 **********
 COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY
 FCN=0.689753 FROM HESSE     STATUS=OK             16 CALLS          77 TOTAL
                     EDM=4.05843e-08    STRATEGY= 1      ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE 
  EXT PARAMETER                                INTERNAL      INTERNAL  
  NO.   NAME      VALUE            ERROR       STEP SIZE       VALUE   
   1  ratioBkgEff   1.00002e+00   1.99326e-01   1.13909e-05  -3.39822e-01
   2  ratioSigEff   9.99992e-01   4.99895e-02   5.18211e-06  -3.39843e-01
   3  s            5.99979e+01   2.32296e+01   3.17891e-05  -3.54380e-05
                               ERR DEF= 0.5
 EXTERNAL ERROR MATRIX.    NDIM=  25    NPAR=  3    ERR DEF=0.5
  4.000e-02  5.038e-08 -4.000e+00 
  5.038e-08  2.500e-03 -1.500e-01 
 -4.000e+00 -1.500e-01  5.690e+02 
 PARAMETER  CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS  
       NO.  GLOBAL      1      2      3
        1  0.84514   1.000  0.000 -0.838
        2  0.23076   0.000  1.000 -0.126
        3  0.84781  -0.838 -0.126  1.000
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooMinimizer::optimizeConst: deactivating const optimization
[#1] INFO:ObjectHandling -- RooWorkspace::import() importing dataset exampleData
[#1] INFO:Minization -- createNLL picked up cached consraints from workspace with 2 entries
[#1] INFO:Minization --  Including the following constraint terms in minimization: (sigConstraint,bkgConstraint)
[#1] INFO:Minization -- The following global observables have been defined: (gSigEff,gSigBkg)
[#0] PROGRESS:Minization -- ProfileLikelihoodCalcultor::DoGLobalFit - find MLE 
[#0] PROGRESS:Minization -- ProfileLikelihoodCalcultor::DoMinimizeNLL - using Minuit / Migrad with strategy 1
[#1] INFO:Fitting -- RooAddition::defaultErrorLevel(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr) Summation contains a RooNLLVar, using its error level
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooMinimizer::optimizeConst: activating const optimization
[#1] INFO:Minization --  The following expressions will be evaluated in cache-and-track mode: (countingModel)
[#1] INFO:Minization -- 
  RooFitResult: minimized FCN value: 0.689753, estimated distance to minimum: 9.56454e-09
                covariance matrix quality: Full, accurate covariance matrix
                Status : MINIMIZE=0 

    Floating Parameter    FinalValue +/-  Error   
  --------------------  --------------------------
           ratioBkgEff    1.0000e+00 +/-  1.99e-01
           ratioSigEff    1.0000e+00 +/-  5.00e-02
                     s    5.9998e+01 +/-  2.32e+01

[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooProfileLL::evaluate(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr_Profile[s]) Creating instance of MINUIT
[#1] INFO:Fitting -- RooAddition::defaultErrorLevel(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr) Summation contains a RooNLLVar, using its error level
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooProfileLL::evaluate(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr_Profile[s]) determining minimum likelihood for current configurations w.r.t all observable
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooProfileLL::evaluate(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr_Profile[s]) minimum found at (s=59.9982)
.
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooProfileLL::evaluate(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr_Profile[s]) Creating instance of MINUIT
[#1] INFO:Fitting -- RooAddition::defaultErrorLevel(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr) Summation contains a RooNLLVar, using its error level
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooProfileLL::evaluate(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr_Profile[s]) determining minimum likelihood for current configurations w.r.t all observable
[#0] ERROR:InputArguments -- RooArgSet::checkForDup: ERROR argument with name s is already in this set
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooProfileLL::evaluate(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr_Profile[s]) minimum found at (s=59.9989)
..........................................................................................................................................................................................................
=== Using the following for ModelConfig ===
Observables:             RooArgSet:: = (obs)
Parameters of Interest:  RooArgSet:: = (s)
Nuisance Parameters:     RooArgSet:: = (ratioSigEff,ratioBkgEff)
Global Observables:      RooArgSet:: = (gSigEff,gSigBkg)
PDF:                     RooProdPdf::modelWithConstraints[ countingModel * sigConstraint * bkgConstraint ] = 0.00460195

FeldmanCousins: ntoys per point: adaptive
FeldmanCousins: nEvents per toy will not fluctuate, will always be 1
FeldmanCousins: Model has nuisance parameters, will do profile construction
FeldmanCousins: # points to test = 100
NeymanConstruction: Prog: 1/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 3.21178
 s=0.6 ratioSigEff=0.999981 ratioBkgEff=1.43644 [-1e+30, 4.68588]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 2/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 3.08218
 s=1.8 ratioSigEff=1.00019 ratioBkgEff=1.42695 [-1e+30, 3.71884]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 3/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.95515
 s=3 ratioSigEff=1.00055 ratioBkgEff=1.4177 [-1e+30, 3.91238]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 4/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.83091
 s=4.2 ratioSigEff=1.00106 ratioBkgEff=1.4085 [-1e+30, 3.65945]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 5/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.7093
 s=5.4 ratioSigEff=1.00133 ratioBkgEff=1.39956 [-1e+30, 3.10318]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 6/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.59036
 s=6.6 ratioSigEff=1.00159 ratioBkgEff=1.39061 [-1e+30, 2.97611]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 7/100 total MC = 240 this test stat = 2.47407
 s=7.8 ratioSigEff=1.00186 ratioBkgEff=1.38228 [-1e+30, 3.15094]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 8/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.36054
 s=9 ratioSigEff=1.0021 ratioBkgEff=1.37325 [-1e+30, 3.1239]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 9/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.24968
 s=10.2 ratioSigEff=1.00232 ratioBkgEff=1.36423 [-1e+30, 3.40684]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 10/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.14147
 s=11.4 ratioSigEff=1.00253 ratioBkgEff=1.35522 [-1e+30, 3.1714]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 11/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.03601
 s=12.6 ratioSigEff=1.00268 ratioBkgEff=1.3462 [-1e+30, 3.24645]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 12/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.93321
 s=13.8 ratioSigEff=1.00287 ratioBkgEff=1.3372 [-1e+30, 2.53824]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 13/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.83309
 s=15 ratioSigEff=1.00308 ratioBkgEff=1.32821 [-1e+30, 2.70016]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 14/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.73564
 s=16.2 ratioSigEff=1.00323 ratioBkgEff=1.31922 [-1e+30, 2.77008]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 15/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.64094
 s=17.4 ratioSigEff=1.00337 ratioBkgEff=1.31025 [-1e+30, 2.84065]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 16/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.5489
 s=18.6 ratioSigEff=1.00347 ratioBkgEff=1.30119 [-1e+30, 2.44334]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 17/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.4595
 s=19.8 ratioSigEff=1.00359 ratioBkgEff=1.29224 [-1e+30, 2.51006]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 18/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.37287
 s=21 ratioSigEff=1.0037 ratioBkgEff=1.28331 [-1e+30, 2.30853]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 19/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.28887
 s=22.2 ratioSigEff=1.00379 ratioBkgEff=1.27438 [-1e+30, 2.11523]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 20/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.20756
 s=23.4 ratioSigEff=1.00387 ratioBkgEff=1.26546 [-1e+30, 2.09374]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 21/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.12892
 s=24.6 ratioSigEff=1.00394 ratioBkgEff=1.25655 [-1e+30, 2.1559]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 22/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.05299
 s=25.8 ratioSigEff=1.00399 ratioBkgEff=1.24765 [-1e+30, 2.48172]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 23/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.979748
 s=27 ratioSigEff=1.00403 ratioBkgEff=1.23877 [-1e+30, 1.9489]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 24/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.909174
 s=28.2 ratioSigEff=1.00405 ratioBkgEff=1.22989 [-1e+30, 1.92837]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 25/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.841264
 s=29.4 ratioSigEff=1.00408 ratioBkgEff=1.22097 [-1e+30, 1.90797]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 26/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.776027
 s=30.6 ratioSigEff=1.00408 ratioBkgEff=1.21214 [-1e+30, 2.04836]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 27/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.713453
 s=31.8 ratioSigEff=1.00406 ratioBkgEff=1.2033 [-1e+30, 1.42563]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 28/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.653543
 s=33 ratioSigEff=1.00403 ratioBkgEff=1.19446 [-1e+30, 1.92614]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 29/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.596293
 s=34.2 ratioSigEff=1.00399 ratioBkgEff=1.18563 [-1e+30, 1.53064]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 30/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.541678
 s=35.4 ratioSigEff=1.00393 ratioBkgEff=1.17679 [-1e+30, 1.65725]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 31/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.489749
 s=36.6 ratioSigEff=1.00386 ratioBkgEff=1.16796 [-1e+30, 1.42567]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 32/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.440465
 s=37.8 ratioSigEff=1.00378 ratioBkgEff=1.15914 [-1e+30, 1.40855]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 33/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.393811
 s=39 ratioSigEff=1.00369 ratioBkgEff=1.15032 [-1e+30, 1.2593]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 34/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.349798
 s=40.2 ratioSigEff=1.00358 ratioBkgEff=1.14153 [-1e+30, 1.30825]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 35/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.30842
 s=41.4 ratioSigEff=1.00347 ratioBkgEff=1.13275 [-1e+30, 0.874179]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 36/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.269673
 s=42.6 ratioSigEff=1.00334 ratioBkgEff=1.12398 [-1e+30, 1.14949]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 37/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.233551
 s=43.8 ratioSigEff=1.00319 ratioBkgEff=1.11573 [-1e+30, 1.07403]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 38/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.200042
 s=45 ratioSigEff=1.00303 ratioBkgEff=1.10705 [-1e+30, 1.30848]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 39/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.169154
 s=46.2 ratioSigEff=1.00285 ratioBkgEff=1.09838 [-1e+30, 0.987229]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 40/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.140928
 s=47.4 ratioSigEff=1.00267 ratioBkgEff=1.08972 [-1e+30, 0.917557]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 41/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.115258
 s=48.6 ratioSigEff=1.00247 ratioBkgEff=1.08109 [-1e+30, 0.850481]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 42/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0921856
 s=49.8 ratioSigEff=1.00226 ratioBkgEff=1.07247 [-1e+30, 0.891152]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 43/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.071704
 s=51 ratioSigEff=1.00204 ratioBkgEff=1.06387 [-1e+30, 1.04631]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 44/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0538069
 s=52.2 ratioSigEff=1.00181 ratioBkgEff=1.05529 [-1e+30, 0.574131]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 45/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0384876
 s=53.4 ratioSigEff=1.00156 ratioBkgEff=1.04672 [-1e+30, 0.749926]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 46/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0257395
 s=54.6 ratioSigEff=1.00131 ratioBkgEff=1.03818 [-1e+30, 0.839739]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 47/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0155555
 s=55.8 ratioSigEff=1.00104 ratioBkgEff=1.02966 [-1e+30, 0.715161]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 48/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.00792855
 s=57 ratioSigEff=1.00075 ratioBkgEff=1.02116 [-1e+30, 0.574145]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 49/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.00285134
 s=58.2 ratioSigEff=1.00046 ratioBkgEff=1.01268 [-1e+30, 0.732099]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 50/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.000340162
 s=59.4 ratioSigEff=1.00048 ratioBkgEff=1.00391 [-1e+30, 0.692058]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 51/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.000338383
 s=60.6 ratioSigEff=0.999508 ratioBkgEff=0.996114 [-1e+30, 0.645986]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 52/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.00280022
 s=61.8 ratioSigEff=0.999513 ratioBkgEff=0.987372 [-1e+30, 0.513396]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 53/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.00784733
 s=63 ratioSigEff=0.999173 ratioBkgEff=0.978982 [-1e+30, 0.477501]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 54/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0154172
 s=64.2 ratioSigEff=0.998823 ratioBkgEff=0.970615 [-1e+30, 0.721505]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 55/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0254769
 s=65.4 ratioSigEff=0.998461 ratioBkgEff=0.962272 [-1e+30, 0.628705]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 56/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0380399
 s=66.6 ratioSigEff=0.998088 ratioBkgEff=0.953953 [-1e+30, 0.636603]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 57/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0530874
 s=67.8 ratioSigEff=0.997704 ratioBkgEff=0.945659 [-1e+30, 0.596425]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 58/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0706058
 s=69 ratioSigEff=0.997308 ratioBkgEff=0.93739 [-1e+30, 0.865376]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 59/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.0905894
 s=70.2 ratioSigEff=0.996902 ratioBkgEff=0.929147 [-1e+30, 0.817861]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 60/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.11303
 s=71.4 ratioSigEff=0.996485 ratioBkgEff=0.920929 [-1e+30, 1.06483]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 61/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.137918
 s=72.6 ratioSigEff=0.996058 ratioBkgEff=0.912737 [-1e+30, 0.780337]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 62/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.165246
 s=73.8 ratioSigEff=0.995619 ratioBkgEff=0.904572 [-1e+30, 0.684448]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 63/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.195001
 s=75 ratioSigEff=0.99517 ratioBkgEff=0.896434 [-1e+30, 1.03028]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 64/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.227176
 s=76.2 ratioSigEff=0.994711 ratioBkgEff=0.888323 [-1e+30, 0.978198]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 65/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.261776
 s=77.4 ratioSigEff=0.994241 ratioBkgEff=0.880239 [-1e+30, 1.11253]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 66/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.298772
 s=78.6 ratioSigEff=0.99376 ratioBkgEff=0.872184 [-1e+30, 1.1878]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 67/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.338144
 s=79.8 ratioSigEff=0.99327 ratioBkgEff=0.864156 [-1e+30, 1.48097]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 68/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.379914
 s=81 ratioSigEff=0.992769 ratioBkgEff=0.856158 [-1e+30, 1.56743]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 69/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.424071
 s=82.2 ratioSigEff=0.992258 ratioBkgEff=0.848188 [-1e+30, 1.28528]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 70/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.470561
 s=83.4 ratioSigEff=0.991737 ratioBkgEff=0.840248 [-1e+30, 1.43791]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 71/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.519388
 s=84.6 ratioSigEff=0.991206 ratioBkgEff=0.832337 [-1e+30, 1.84071]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 72/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.570629
 s=85.8 ratioSigEff=0.990665 ratioBkgEff=0.824456 [-1e+30, 1.31507]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 73/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.624119
 s=87 ratioSigEff=0.990114 ratioBkgEff=0.816606 [-1e+30, 1.18907]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 74/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.679954
 s=88.2 ratioSigEff=0.989554 ratioBkgEff=0.808786 [-1e+30, 1.33487]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 75/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.738064
 s=89.4 ratioSigEff=0.988831 ratioBkgEff=0.800144 [-1e+30, 1.56433]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 76/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.798499
 s=90.6 ratioSigEff=0.988237 ratioBkgEff=0.792303 [-1e+30, 1.49944]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 77/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.861245
 s=91.8 ratioSigEff=0.987632 ratioBkgEff=0.784488 [-1e+30, 1.7418]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 78/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.926247
 s=93 ratioSigEff=0.987017 ratioBkgEff=0.7767 [-1e+30, 1.37459]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 79/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 0.993496
 s=94.2 ratioSigEff=0.986393 ratioBkgEff=0.76894 [-1e+30, 2.1909]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 80/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.06297
 s=95.4 ratioSigEff=0.985758 ratioBkgEff=0.761207 [-1e+30, 1.85545]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 81/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.13473
 s=96.6 ratioSigEff=0.985113 ratioBkgEff=0.753502 [-1e+30, 1.86619]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 82/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.20872
 s=97.8 ratioSigEff=0.984458 ratioBkgEff=0.745825 [-1e+30, 2.41018]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 83/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.28491
 s=99 ratioSigEff=0.983794 ratioBkgEff=0.738176 [-1e+30, 2.4215]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 84/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.36329
 s=100.2 ratioSigEff=0.983119 ratioBkgEff=0.730555 [-1e+30, 2.43281]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 85/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.44387
 s=101.4 ratioSigEff=0.982436 ratioBkgEff=0.722963 [-1e+30, 2.44404]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 86/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.52662
 s=102.6 ratioSigEff=0.981742 ratioBkgEff=0.7154 [-1e+30, 2.09032]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 87/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.61153
 s=103.8 ratioSigEff=0.981039 ratioBkgEff=0.707866 [-1e+30, 2.76135]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 88/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.69863
 s=105 ratioSigEff=0.980326 ratioBkgEff=0.700362 [-1e+30, 2.20046]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 89/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.78786
 s=106.2 ratioSigEff=0.979605 ratioBkgEff=0.692886 [-1e+30, 2.58534]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 90/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.87921
 s=107.4 ratioSigEff=0.978873 ratioBkgEff=0.685441 [-1e+30, 2.89797]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 91/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 1.97265
 s=108.6 ratioSigEff=0.978133 ratioBkgEff=0.678026 [-1e+30, 3.1204]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 92/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.06825
 s=109.8 ratioSigEff=0.977383 ratioBkgEff=0.670641 [-1e+30, 3.0252]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 93/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.16592
 s=111 ratioSigEff=0.976625 ratioBkgEff=0.663286 [-1e+30, 2.93195]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 94/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.26567
 s=112.2 ratioSigEff=0.975857 ratioBkgEff=0.655962 [-1e+30, 3.15451]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 95/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.36747
 s=113.4 ratioSigEff=0.975049 ratioBkgEff=0.648489 [-1e+30, 3.05911]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 96/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.47134
 s=114.6 ratioSigEff=0.97426 ratioBkgEff=0.641206 [-1e+30, 2.96561]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 97/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.57725
 s=115.8 ratioSigEff=0.973462 ratioBkgEff=0.633952 [-1e+30, 3.5205]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 98/100 total MC = 720 this test stat = 2.68519
 s=117 ratioSigEff=0.972655 ratioBkgEff=0.626728 [-1e+30, 3.19948]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 99/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.79514
 s=118.2 ratioSigEff=0.971839 ratioBkgEff=0.619535 [-1e+30, 3.43015]  in interval = 1

NeymanConstruction: Prog: 100/100 total MC = 80 this test stat = 2.90706
 s=119.4 ratioSigEff=0.971013 ratioBkgEff=0.612371 [-1e+30, 3.55406]  in interval = 1

[#1] INFO:Eval -- 100 points in interval

[#1] INFO:Minization -- createNLL picked up cached consraints from workspace with 2 entries
[#1] INFO:Minization --  Including the following constraint terms in minimization: (sigConstraint,bkgConstraint)
[#1] INFO:Fitting -- RooAddition::defaultErrorLevel(nll_modelWithConstraints_exampleData_with_constr) Summation contains a RooNLLVar, using its error level
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooMinimizer::optimizeConst: activating const optimization
[#1] INFO:Minization --  The following expressions will be evaluated in cache-and-track mode: (countingModel)
 **********
 **    1 **SET PRINT           1
 **********
 **********
 **    2 **SET NOGRAD
 **********
 PARAMETER DEFINITIONS:
    NO.   NAME         VALUE      STEP SIZE      LIMITS
     1 ratioBkgEff   6.12371e-01  1.20943e-01    0.00000e+00  3.00000e+00
     2 ratioSigEff   9.71013e-01  4.85593e-02    0.00000e+00  3.00000e+00
     3 s            1.19400e+02  3.00000e-01    0.00000e+00  1.20000e+02
 **********
 **    3 **SET ERR         0.5
 **********
 **********
 **    4 **SET PRINT           1
 **********
 **********
 **    5 **SET STR           1
 **********
 NOW USING STRATEGY  1: TRY TO BALANCE SPEED AGAINST RELIABILITY
 **********
 **    6 **MIGRAD        1500           1
 **********
 FIRST CALL TO USER FUNCTION AT NEW START POINT, WITH IFLAG=4.
 START MIGRAD MINIMIZATION.  STRATEGY  1.  CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. 1.00e-03
 FCN=4.91605 FROM MIGRAD    STATUS=INITIATE       27 CALLS          28 TOTAL
                     EDM= unknown      STRATEGY= 1      NO ERROR MATRIX       
  EXT PARAMETER               CURRENT GUESS       STEP         FIRST   
  NO.   NAME      VALUE            ERROR          SIZE      DERIVATIVE 
   1  ratioBkgEff   6.12371e-01   1.20943e-01   0.00000e+00  -1.48191e+01
   2  ratioSigEff   9.71013e-01   4.85593e-02   0.00000e+00  -1.97878e+01
   3  s            9.75908e+01   3.00000e-01  -7.52185e-01  -1.16463e+00
                               ERR DEF= 0.5
 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED.
 MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX.
 COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY
 FCN=2.81893 FROM MIGRAD    STATUS=CONVERGED      79 CALLS          80 TOTAL
                     EDM=1.35233e-06    STRATEGY= 1      ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE 
  EXT PARAMETER                                   STEP         FIRST   
  NO.   NAME      VALUE            ERROR          SIZE      DERIVATIVE 
   1  ratioBkgEff   1.00007e+00   1.99245e-01   9.52487e-05   8.82152e-03
   2  ratioSigEff   1.00005e+00   4.99902e-02   4.32605e-05   3.08391e-02
   3  s            5.99980e+01   2.32204e+01   2.65567e-04   2.76681e-03
                               ERR DEF= 0.5
 EXTERNAL ERROR MATRIX.    NDIM=  25    NPAR=  3    ERR DEF=0.5
  3.996e-02  9.392e-07 -3.996e+00 
  9.392e-07  2.500e-03 -1.501e-01 
 -3.996e+00 -1.501e-01  5.685e+02 
 PARAMETER  CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS  
       NO.  GLOBAL      1      2      3
        1  0.84499   1.000  0.000 -0.838
        2  0.23083   0.000  1.000 -0.126
        3  0.84767  -0.838 -0.126  1.000
 **********
 **    7 **SET ERR         0.5
 **********
 **********
 **    8 **SET PRINT           1
 **********
 **********
 **    9 **HESSE        1500
 **********
 COVARIANCE MATRIX CALCULATED SUCCESSFULLY
 FCN=2.81893 FROM HESSE     STATUS=OK             16 CALLS          96 TOTAL
                     EDM=1.35232e-06    STRATEGY= 1      ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE 
  EXT PARAMETER                                INTERNAL      INTERNAL  
  NO.   NAME      VALUE            ERROR       STEP SIZE       VALUE   
   1  ratioBkgEff   1.00007e+00   1.99312e-01   1.90497e-05  -3.39791e-01
   2  ratioSigEff   1.00005e+00   4.99897e-02   8.65210e-06  -3.39803e-01
   3  s            5.99980e+01   2.32275e+01   5.31134e-05  -3.30615e-05
                               ERR DEF= 0.5
 EXTERNAL ERROR MATRIX.    NDIM=  25    NPAR=  3    ERR DEF=0.5
  3.999e-02  5.573e-07 -3.999e+00 
  5.573e-07  2.500e-03 -1.501e-01 
 -3.999e+00 -1.501e-01  5.689e+02 
 PARAMETER  CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS  
       NO.  GLOBAL      1      2      3
        1  0.84511   1.000  0.000 -0.838
        2  0.23079   0.000  1.000 -0.126
        3  0.84778  -0.838 -0.126  1.000
[#1] INFO:Minization -- RooMinimizer::optimizeConst: deactivating const optimization
[#1] INFO:Minization -- createNLL picked up cached consraints from workspace with 2 entries
[#1] INFO:Minization --  Including the following constraint terms in minimization: (sigConstraint,bkgConstraint)
[#1] INFO:Minization -- The following global observables have been defined: (gSigEff,gSigBkg)
Metropolis-Hastings progress: ....................................................................................................
[#1] INFO:Eval -- Proposal acceptance rate: 47.905%
[#1] INFO:Eval -- Number of steps in chain: 9581
Profile lower limit on s = 13.9497
Profile upper limit on s = 107.95
FC lower limit on s = 0.6
FC upper limit on s = 119.4
MCMC lower limit on s = 18.064
MCMC upper limit on s = 101.117
MCMC Actual confidence level: 0.949852
[#0] ERROR:InputArguments -- RooArgSet::checkForDup: ERROR argument with name weight_MarkovChain_local_ is already in this set
plotting the chain data - nentries = 9581
plotting the scanned points used in the frequentist construction - npoints = 100
Real time 0:00:28, CP time 18.040